Premier League predictions & Jones Knows' best bets: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool, Man Utd vs Aston Villa and more!

Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight across the Premier League weekend.

Brighton vs Brentford, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

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Can beating Manchester City away from home actually be a curse?

There is a curious trend developing with the last five teams outside of Arsenal and Liverpool to win a Premier League game at the Etihad all failing to win their next fixture. Brighton now have to navigate that potential banana skin against a Brentford side who are proving remarkably reliable in front of goal.

Keith Andrews' team are the only side to have scored in all nine Premier League games this season, finding the net 16 times. Stretch that record across the summer break and Brentford have now scored in 11 consecutive league matches. Their attacking consistency makes them an awkward opponent for a Brighton side who may still be riding the emotional high of their Etihad triumph and feeling a bit of fatigue from their European adventures.

I'm not convinced Brighton deserve to be as short as they are in the match odds. Brentford have enough attacking threat to hurt them. Combine Brentford double chance and both teams to score at 6/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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Crystal Palace have shipped 21 goals in nine Premier League games this season - the most the club have conceded at this stage of a top-flight campaign. Pierre Sage has inherited a defensive problem that doesn't look particularly easy to fix and that makes the Liverpool goalscorer market an interesting place to look for value.

Alexis Mac Allister stands out at 7/2 with Sky Bet to score anytime. His Premier League goal drought stretches back to February 28 against West Ham, but I'm not convinced that's a reason to swerve him. In fact, the signs suggest a goal is getting closer.

Mac Allister has been making increasingly dangerous runs into the box and getting himself into positions where chances are falling his way. He's also scored four times in cup competitions this season, while his recent shot volume is particularly encouraging - 12 attempts across his last four matches.

He's getting into the right areas. Against a Palace defence that has been leaking goals at an alarming rate, 7/2 looks a generous price to back to see that drought finally come to an end.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Ipswich vs Bournemouth, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

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Sometimes the best way to find a player card bet is to look at the opponent rather than the player himself. That's certainly the case with Dara O'Shea at 9/2 with Sky Bet to be booked.

Evanilson is becoming an increasingly dangerous Premier League striker but he's also a master at getting defenders into trouble. Across his Premier League career, he has been responsible for drawing 29 yellow cards from opponents. That's a booking drawn every 200 minutes of action - an elite ratio.

It's a particularly useful trait when assessing O'Shea's chances of seeing yellow. The Ipswich defender is likely to have to deal with Evanilson's movement, physicality and ability to force defenders into awkward challenges.

At 9/2 we're getting a big enough price to take a chance on the opponent's card-drawing ability doing the damage.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Sunderland vs Chelsea, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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This might be exactly what Sunderland need to get their season rolling in the right direction.

A home game against one of the Premier League's big hitters, where they can embrace the underdog role and make life uncomfortable for a Chelsea side who still have question marks over their consistency when a game becomes tough.

The Stadium of Light remains one of the toughest places to visit. Since promotion, Sunderland have conceded just 1.04 goals per game on home soil, while producing some huge performances when the occasion has demanded it. Newcastle have been beaten, Arsenal and Manchester City have been held, and there was that memorable 2-1 victory over Chelsea on the final day of last season.

Sunderland have shown they can raise their level against the division's elite, particularly in front of their own supporters.

Chelsea are rightly favourites but, at 5/2 with Sky Bet, I'm happy to take a swing on Sunderland.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Man Utd vs Aston Villa, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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Unai Emery clearly sees something special in Johan Manzambi, handing him a prominent role at Aston Villa and the early signs suggest he could make a serious splash this season.

The numbers are already eye-catching. Manzambi has delivered a goal or assist every 81 minutes in the Premier League this season. Backing him to score or assist has landed in all six league games he has started (including super sub concession). That's a pretty compelling return for a player still finding his feet at this level.

His developing partnership with Nicolas Jackson is particularly exciting. There's a nice understanding emerging between the pair, while Manzambi's wider numbers suggest this isn't simply a purple patch. He averaged a goal involvement every other game for club and country last season.

And the scary thing for opponents? He's only going to get better.

Manchester United are going to struggle to contain him. They are without a clean sheet in nine Premier League games this season and remain a side struggling for consistency and control.

At 13/8 with Sky Bet, Manzambi to score or assist looks a lovely price.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | Johan Manzambi to score or assist (13/8 with Sky Bet)

Jones Knows' best bets...

• Over 4.5 cards in Leeds vs Tottenham (5/6 with Sky Bet)
• Calvin Bassey +3 foul involvements (5/6 with Sky Bet)
• Nottingham Forest to win (7/2 with Sky Bet)
• Johan Manzambi to score or assist (13/8 with Sky Bet)

(c) Sky Sports 2026: Premier League predictions & Jones Knows' best bets: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool, Man Utd vs Aston Villa and more!